Headline : Chinese Support for Russia’s War in Ukraine Deepens Friction With U.S., E.U.

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Over 26 months have passed since Russia’s latest invasion of Ukraine. The current stalemate has given way to gradual advances by Russia, as political support for arming Ukraine waned in Western capitals, at least until a breakthrough U.S. funding bill last week. To counteract this inertia, Western leaders have increased pressure on one of Russia’s main backers: China. A growing number of officials have publicly called out Chinese support for Russia’s war machine and threatened punishment as deterrence. However, it is unclear whether Chinese actors will ultimately change course.

The E.U. has been worried about China’s potential complicity since the beginning of Russia’s war. In the South China Morning Post, Finbarr Bermingham reported that now the E.U. has planned on blacklisting more Chinese businesses for breaching sanctions on Russia:

Last week, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg used unusually harsh words to warn China against supporting Russia’s war. He added, “They cannot have it both ways,” referencing China’s desire to maintain good relations with both the West and Russia. At the end of his recent trip to Beijing, as Phelim Kine at Politico reported, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken threatened additional punishments if China continued to export materials that allow Russia to rebuild its industrial base:

These threats have led to some skeptical reactions in China. Wu Xinbo, dean of the Institute of International Studies at Fudan University in Shanghai, worried that the U.S. would continuously “raise the bar” on what it considers support for Russia’s war beyond lethal aid to areas Beijing considers “normal” trade. “It will be an endless process,” he told the Washington Post, adding, “If this time we bow to Blinken’s request to stop financial transactions, but the war continues and Ukraine keeps losing ground, then the U.S. will say ‘China, you should stop doing something else.’”

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