Headline : We Cant Imagine the Future of AI

Read more from the original article on here at reason.com.

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In the June 2024 issue, we explore the ways that artificial intelligence is shaping our economy and culture. The stories and art are about AI—and occasionally by AI. (Throughout the issue, we have rendered all text generated by AI-powered tools in blue.) To read the rest of the issue, go here.

Vernor Vinge was the bard of artificial intelligence, a novelist and mathematician who devoted his career to imagining the nearly unimaginable aftermath of the moment when technology outpaces human capability. He died in March, as we were putting together Reason's first-ever AI issue, right on the cusp of finding out which of his fanciful guesses would turn out to be right.

In 2007, Reason interviewed Vinge about the Singularity—the now slightly out-of-favor term he popularized for that greater-than-human intelligence event horizon. By that time the author of A Fire Upon the Deep and A Deepness in the Sky had, for years, been pinning the date of the Singularity somewhere between 2005 and 2030. To Reason, he offered a softer prediction: If the rapid doubling of processing power known as Moore's law "continues for a decade or two," that "makes it plausible that very interesting A.I. developments might occur before 2030."

That prophecy, at least, has already come true.

Read more from the original article on here at reason.com.

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